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Jones Knows targets value picks as PL weekend begins
Sky Sports tipster Lewis Jones landed all four bets last weekend and is backing under 2.5 goals in the Liverpool–Nottingham Forest clash as his standout value play of the round.
29 Aug 2026 · via skysports.com
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Jones, known as Jones Knows, was in prolific form on week one, banking six correct results and four correct scores according to Sky Sports. This weekend, he's scrutinising Liverpool's opener against Forest with particular interest in the goals market.
Despite expectations of attacking football at Anfield, Jones believes Forest will struggle to contribute in that regard. Nottingham have failed to score in both games against Leeds, managing just 1.4 expected goals across 180 minutes of play. New Forest manager Oliver Glasner has cited squad upheaval and limited implementation time, but there's a historic concern: his teams have struggled to break down Andoni Iraola's sides, failing to score in four of five prior meetings.
Jones backs under 2.5 goals at 5/4 as a value bet.
Elsewhere, he's backing Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to score anytime at 4/1 against Bournemouth. After netting against Crystal Palace, Dewsbury-Hall has been deployed in an advanced No. 10 role rather than midfield, with four touches in the opposition box and three shots against Palace alone. His seven shots in midweek against Preston, albeit lower-standard opposition, reinforced that attacking licence.
The Coventry versus Hull encounter offers a contrasting angle. Newly-promoted sides have a strong historical record in direct matchups, with 35 of the last 36 such fixtures producing over 1.5 goals. Hull's impressive 2-0 upset over Manchester United last weekend shows defensive organisation that could trouble Coventry, who conceded three to Arsenal on opening day. Jones suggests backing both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at Evens with Sky Bet as the safer route, according to Sky Sports.
Betting angle
Under 2.5 goals at 5/4 in Forest vs Liverpool; Dewsbury-Hall anytime scorer at 4/1 vs Bournemouth; BTTS and over 2.5 at Evens in Coventry–Hull.
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